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<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 10pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT face=Calibri><FONT size=3>Hi all,<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 10pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT face=Calibri><FONT size=3>I have some questions to combine greenhouse gas emission scenarios. <o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 10pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT face=Calibri><FONT size=3>But first, what I have done: <o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 10pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT face=Calibri><FONT size=3>I used biomod (6 algorithms) and two climate scenarios each with two greenhouse gas emission scenarios. <SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>My output is a consensus, based on weight.method=ROC (see “R” instructions below). <o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3>Now, I want to plot the average of the two climate scenarios (HadCM3 and CCCma) for one greenhouse gas emission scenario (A2a), on GIS. To this, I <SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>calculated the average of both scenarios and used the prob.mean.weighted as threshold. However, this plot doesn´t look like the average of the two climate scenarios given from the output. <o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3>To this, the probabilities of my 23 modeled species vary from 0 to 800, but never reach 1000. For example, the probabilities of the average of both greenhouse gas scenarios for one species vary from 0 to 657, the prob.mean.weighted is 579. By using this threshold, the species is nearly extinct to the end of this century, whereas the output of biomod for the concerning species looks greatly different to the average I calculated.<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>What did I do wrong with the threshold?<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormalCxSpLast><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT size=3 face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 36pt; mso-add-space: auto; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo2" class=MsoListParagraph><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Wingdings; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-font-family: Wingdings; mso-bidi-font-family: Wingdings" lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore"><FONT size=3>§</FONT><SPAN style="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'"> </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT face=Calibri><FONT size=3>Initial.State(Response=species[, c(4:27)], Explanatory = data_present[,c(4:15)],<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpFirst><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN>IndependentResponse = NULL, IndependentExplanatory = NULL)<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpLast><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT size=3 face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 36pt; mso-add-space: auto; mso-list: l1 level1 lfo1" class=MsoListParagraph><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Wingdings; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-font-family: Wingdings; mso-bidi-font-family: Wingdings" lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore"><FONT size=3>§</FONT><SPAN style="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'"> </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT face=Calibri><FONT size=3>Models(GLM = T, TypeGLM = "poly", Test = "AIC",<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpFirst><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN></SPAN>GBM = T, No.trees = 3000,</FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN>GAM = T, Spline = 4,</FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>CTA = T, CV.tree = 50,</FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>ANN = F, CV.ann = 5,</FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 2"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>FDA = F,</FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 2"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: FR" lang=FR>SRE = F, quant=0.025,<o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: FR" lang=FR><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN>MARS = T,<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: FR" lang=FR><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN></SPAN>RF = T,</FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>NbRunEval = 10, DataSplit = 70,</FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 2"> </SPAN>Yweights=NULL, Roc=TRUE, Optimized.Threshold.Roc=TRUE,<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>Kappa=TRUE, TSS=TRUE, KeepPredIndependent = FALSE, VarImport=5,<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>NbRepPA=1, strategy="random",<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>nb.absences=10000)<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpLast><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT size=3 face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 36pt; mso-add-space: auto; mso-list: l1 level1 lfo1" class=MsoListParagraph><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Wingdings; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-font-family: Wingdings; mso-bidi-font-family: Wingdings" lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore"><FONT size=3>§</FONT><SPAN style="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'"> </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT face=Calibri><FONT size=3>Projection(Proj = Hadcm3_A80[,4:15],<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpFirst><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN>Proj.name='Hadcm3_A80',<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN></SPAN>GLM = T,</FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN>GBM = T,</FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN>GAM = T,</FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN>CTA = T,</FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN>ANN = F,</FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN>FDA = F,</FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: FR" lang=FR>SRE = F, quant=0.025,<o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: FR" lang=FR><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN>MARS = T,<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: FR" lang=FR><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN></SPAN>RF = T,</FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN>BinRoc = T, BinKappa = T, BinTSS = F,</FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US>FiltRoc = F, FiltKappa = F, FiltTSS = F,<o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN>repetition.models=T)<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpLast><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT size=3 face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 36pt; mso-add-space: auto; mso-list: l1 level1 lfo1" class=MsoListParagraph><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Wingdings; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-font-family: Wingdings; mso-bidi-font-family: Wingdings" lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore"><FONT size=3>§</FONT><SPAN style="FONT: 7pt 'Times New Roman'"> </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT face=Calibri><FONT size=3>Ensemble.Forecasting(Proj.name= "Hadcm3_A80",<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpFirst><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT size=3><FONT face="Times New Roman"><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN>weight.method='Roc',<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT size=3><FONT face="Times New Roman"><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN>PCA.median=T,<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT size=3><FONT face="Times New Roman"><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN>binary=T,<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT size=3><FONT face="Times New Roman"><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN>bin.method='Roc',<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT size=3><FONT face="Times New Roman"><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN>Test=T,<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT size=3><FONT face="Times New Roman"><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN>decay=1.6,<o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT size=3><FONT face="Times New Roman"><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 3"> </SPAN>repetition.models=T)</FONT></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style="mso-ansi-language: EN-US" lang=EN-US><FONT size=3><FONT face="Times New Roman"><o:p></o:p></FONT></FONT></SPAN> </P><PRE class=moz-signature cols="72">-- <BR>Dipl.- Biol. Jan Sauer<BR>Forschungsinstitut und Naturmuseum Senckenberg<BR>Abteilung Limnologie und Naturschutzforschung <BR><BR>Clamecystr. 12<BR>63571 Gelnhausen<BR><BR>Tel.:06051 61954-3117<BR>Fax.:06051 61954-3118<BR><BR>www.senckenberg.de</PRE></BODY></HTML>