<html><head></head><body style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space; "><div>Hi Jonathan,</div><div><blockquote type="cite"><div style="MARGIN: 4px 4px 1px; FONT: 10pt Tahoma"><div style="line-height: normal; margin-top: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-left: 0cm; "><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Tahoma','sans-serif'; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: DE" lang="EN-US">I've read the Manual carefully. Still, I am not sure about the predictive performance given by the function Ensemble.Forecasting() when the argument Test=TRUE.<o:p></o:p></span></div><div style="line-height: normal; margin-top: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-left: 0cm; "><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Tahoma','sans-serif'; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: DE" lang="EN-US">Probability values derived from different consensus methods are compared with the data input for a given species using the ROC-curve. But, is the entire data set considered now or the testing data that were kept in memory somewhere? </span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Tahoma','sans-serif'; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: DE">Thanks for an </span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Tahoma','sans-serif'; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-GB; mso-fareast-language: DE" lang="EN-GB">answer</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Tahoma','sans-serif'; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: DE">. Cheers Jonathan </span></div></div></blockquote><div><br></div><div>Yes, you're entirely right.</div><div>We might indeed think to test it with the testing data. Would be much more accurate actually... good point. I'll think about that.</div><div><br></div><div>Wilfried</div><div><br></div><div><br></div><br><blockquote type="cite"><div style="MARGIN: 4px 4px 1px; FONT: 10pt Tahoma"><div style="line-height: normal; margin-top: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-bottom: 0pt; margin-left: 0cm; "><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Tahoma','sans-serif'; FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-language: DE"><o:p></o:p></span></div></div>
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<span class="Apple-style-span" style="border-collapse: separate; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Helvetica; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: auto; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 0px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-decorations-in-effect: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="border-collapse: separate; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Helvetica; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 0px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-decorations-in-effect: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; "><div style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="border-collapse: separate; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Helvetica; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 0px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-decorations-in-effect: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; "><div style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space; "><div><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 12px; "><div>--------------------------</div><div>Dr. Wilfried Thuiller</div><div>Laboratoire d'Ecologie Alpine, UMR CNRS 5553</div><div>Université Joseph Fourier</div><div>BP53, 38041 Grenoble cedex 9, France</div><div>tel: +33 (0)4 76 51 44 97</div><div>fax: +33 (0)4 76 51 42 79</div><div><br></div><div>Email: <a href="mailto:wilfried.thuiller@ujf-grenoble.fr">wilfried.thuiller@ujf-grenoble.fr</a><br>Home page: <a href="http://www.will.chez-alice.fr/">http://www.will.chez-alice.fr</a><br>Website: <a href="http://www-leca.ujf-grenoble.fr/equipes/tde.htm">http://www-leca.ujf-grenoble.fr/equipes/tde.htm</a><br><br>FP6 European MACIS project: <a href="http://www.macis-project.net/">http://www.macis-project.net</a><br>FP6 European EcoChange project: <a href="http://www.ecochange-project.eu/">http://www.ecochange-project.eu</a></div><div><br></div></span></div></div></span><br class="Apple-interchange-newline"></div></span><br class="Apple-interchange-newline"></span><br class="Apple-interchange-newline">
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