<html><head><meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html charset=windows-1252"></head><body style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space;" class="">Hi Ricardo,<div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""> Sorry for the late reply. It is possible that the lack of convergence is related to the small sample sizes and the short duration of the sampling. You can check the trace plots and see if it’s not converging because it needs to run for more iterations or because the model cannot actually find the parameters. Just type:</div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""> plot(yourOutput)</div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""> which should produce the trace plots for the mortality parameters. </div><div class=""><br class=""></div><div class=""> About your other question, BaSTA does not provide a single numerical value for the mortality (or survival) since it estimates age-specific mortality. I hope this helps clarifying your doubts. Let me know if you need more help.<br class=""><div class="">
<div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); letter-spacing: normal; orphans: auto; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: auto; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space;" class=""><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: auto; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: auto; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;" class=""><br class="Apple-interchange-newline">Best,</div><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: auto; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: auto; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;" class=""><br class=""></div><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: auto; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: auto; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;" class=""> Fernando</div><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: auto; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: auto; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;" class=""><br class=""></div><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: auto; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: auto; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;" class=""><div class="" style="font-size: 12px; orphans: 2; widows: 2;"><b class="">Fernando Colchero</b></div><div class="" style="font-size: 12px; orphans: 2; widows: 2;">Associate Professor</div><div class="" style="font-size: 12px; orphans: 2; widows: 2;">Department of Mathematics and Computer Science</div><div class="" style="font-size: 12px; orphans: 2; widows: 2;">Max-Planck Odense Center on the Biodemography of Aging</div><div class="" style="font-size: 12px; orphans: 2; widows: 2;"><b class=""><i class=""><br class=""></i></b></div><div class="" style="font-size: 12px; orphans: 2; widows: 2;">Tlf. +45 65 50 23 24</div><div class="" style="font-size: 12px; orphans: 2; widows: 2;">Email <a href="mailto:colchero@imada.sdu.dk" class="">colchero@imada.sdu.dk</a></div><div class="" style="font-size: 12px; orphans: 2; widows: 2;">Web <a href="http://www.sdu.dk/staff/colchero" class="">www.sdu.dk/staff/colchero</a></div><div class="" style="font-size: 12px; orphans: 2; widows: 2;">Pers. web <a href="http://www.sdu.dk/staff/colchero" class="">www.colchero.com</a></div><div class="" style="font-size: 12px; orphans: 2; widows: 2;">Adr. Campusvej 55, 5230, Odense, Dk</div><div class="" style="font-size: 12px; orphans: 2; widows: 2;"><br class=""></div><div class="" style="font-size: 12px; orphans: 2; widows: 2;"><b class="">University of Southern Denmark</b></div></div></div>
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<br class=""><div><blockquote type="cite" class=""><div class="">On 3 Apr 2018, at 23:55, Ricardo Figueroa <<a href="mailto:rfh_diablosmana@hotmail.com" class="">rfh_diablosmana@hotmail.com</a>> wrote:</div><br class="Apple-interchange-newline"><div class=""><div id="divtagdefaultwrapper" dir="ltr" style="font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: auto; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: auto; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; font-size: 12pt; font-family: Calibri, Helvetica, sans-serif, EmojiFont, 'Apple Color Emoji', 'Segoe UI Emoji', NotoColorEmoji, 'Segoe UI Symbol', 'Android Emoji', EmojiSymbols;" class=""><p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;" class=""></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span lang="EN-US" class=""></span></p><div style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;" class=""><span lang="EN-US" class="">Dear Basta users.<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;" class=""><span lang="EN-US" class="">I am beginning to explore Basta in order to analyze the survival parameters of a rattlesnake. I have a dataset of 53 individuals surveyed for 8 consecutive months. I’ve made some preliminary analyses and I’ve got two questions:<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;" class=""><span lang="EN-US" class="">1) The simulations of the models I’ve made failed to converge. I ran the analyses with 4 simulations as shown in the tutorial, and I wonder if more simulations could lead to convergence. How many simulations would you recommend me to run?<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;" class=""><span lang="EN-US" class="">2) I have a little bit of trouble with the interpretation of the results. Basta provides the parameters of the mortality function used in the model, as I understand but, is there a way in which Basta provides the user a specific numerical value of the survival and mortality proportion?<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;" class=""><span lang="EN-US" class=""> </span></div><div style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;" class=""><span lang="EN-US" class="">Thanks in advance<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;" class=""><span lang="EN-US" class="">Ricardo Figueroa<o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><div style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;" class=""><span lang="EN-US" class=""><o:p class=""></o:p></span></div><p style="margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;" class=""></p></div><span style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: auto; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: auto; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; float: none; display: inline !important;" class="">_______________________________________________</span><br style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: auto; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: auto; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;" class=""><span style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: auto; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: auto; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; float: none; display: inline !important;" class="">Basta-users mailing list</span><br style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: auto; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: auto; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;" class=""><a href="mailto:Basta-users@lists.r-forge.r-project.org" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: auto; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: auto; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;" class="">Basta-users@lists.r-forge.r-project.org</a><br style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: auto; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: auto; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;" class=""><a href="https://lists.r-forge.r-project.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/basta-users" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: auto; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: auto; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;" class="">https://lists.r-forge.r-project.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/basta-users</a></div></blockquote></div><br class=""></div></body></html>